The Baltimore Orioles and New York Mets are set to continue their interleague series on Tuesday evening at Citi Field, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.
The Mets are favored with a moneyline of -120, while the game total is set at 8.5 runs.
Baltimore (73-52 SU, 68-57 RL, 68-47-10 O/U) will send right-hander Dean Kremer to the mound. The 28-year-old holds a record of 5-9 with a 4.48 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP across 17 starts this season.
New York (64-60 SU, 61-63 RL, 63-57-4 O/U) counters with left-handed pitcher Jose Quintana. The 35-year-old has a record of 6-8, a 4.26 ERA, and a 1.29 WHIP in 24 starts.
*This article was published prior to the conclusion of Monday’s game.
Recent Performance and Trends
The Orioles have experienced a mix of success and challenges since the All-Star break. After splitting a four-game series with the Red Sox, they managed to clinch a 4-2 victory in the finale last Sunday. With a record of 15-14 in the second half of the season, they are currently tied at the top of the American League East with New York.
Key players for Baltimore include shortstop Gunnar Henderson (33 home runs, .936 OPS, 7.5 WAR), catcher Adley Rutschman (18 home runs, 70 RBIs, .759 OPS), and right fielder Anthony Santander (36 home runs, 80 RBIs, .835 OPS). The Orioles rank 11th in on-base percentage (.319), 2nd in OPS (.770), and lead the league with 192 home runs. Baltimore’s pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA (14th) and a 1.24 WHIP (11th), with a total of 1,062 strikeouts (15th).
On Tuesday night, Kremer will take the mound in New York. He recently excelled against the Nationals, allowing just one run over six innings in his last start. This season, he holds a 3-5 record with a 4.15 ERA and 1.13 WHIP on the road. Kremer faced the Mets once last season, yielding only two runs and two hits in 5.1 innings.
Mound Matchup: Kremer vs. Quintana
The Mets are coming off a series win against the Miami Marlins, winning two out of three games. Although they are trailing 9.0 games behind the Philadelphia Phillies in the National League East, the Mets remain in contention for a Wild Card spot. However, their recent performance shows inconsistency with a 15-14 record since the All-Star break.
New York’s key contributors include shortstop Francisco Lindor (24 home runs, .806 OPS, 5.3 WAR), first baseman Pete Alonso (27 home runs, .800 OPS), and left fielder Brandon Nimmo (18 home runs, 71 RBIs, .757 OPS). The Mets rank 8th in on-base percentage (.323), 9th in OPS (.742), and 5th in home runs (156). Their pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA (18th) and a 1.30 WHIP (22nd), along with 1,103 strikeouts (7th).
On the mound for the Mets, Quintana aims to bounce back after a shaky outing against the Oakland Athletics, where he allowed four runs over four innings. This season, he has a 3-4 record with a 3.72 ERA at home across 12 starts. In his career against Baltimore, Quintana has made ten appearances, posting a 2-5 record with a 3.66 ERA.
For fans looking to place bets on this game, be sure to check out the latest MLB Free Picks.
Betting Analysis: Orioles vs. Mets
The Orioles have a strong chance of performing well against Quintana, who has struggled with a 4.73 ERA since the All-Star break. Baltimore’s lineup ranks second in weighted runs created plus (wRC+) and weighted on-base average (wOBA). They have excelled against left-handed pitching, posting a .260 batting average, .324 on-base percentage, and .450 slugging percentage against southpaws.
Dean Kremer’s recent performance supports the potential for a solid outing against the Mets, particularly in the favorable environment of Citi Field. He has held opponents to a .193 batting average on the road this year, and with a bullpen ranked among the best in the league for WHIP, the Orioles appear well-equipped to secure a win.
Given these factors, the prediction leans towards a straight-up victory for the Orioles, making the moneyline at plus odds an enticing option for bettors.
