The NCAA Tournament South Region is shaping up to be a hotbed of unpredictability! It’s surprising to see this chaos surrounding the Auburn Tigers, a team that has had a strong season. However, as the tournament unfolds, it becomes clear that success hinges not just on past performance but on current momentum. Bruce Pearl’s squad has struggled recently, losing three of their last four games. If opponents can effectively limit their three-point shooting, it could turn the tide in this competitive bracket. Facing them is a formidable Michigan State team, which is ready to make a serious run. Under Tom Izzo, who boasts an impressive 15 Sweet 16 appearances, the Spartans are equipped with standout players like freshman Jase Richardson and senior Jaden Akins, complemented by one of the nation’s top defenses. With a record of 27-6 and eight wins in their last nine outings, they are a team to watch.
The situation for Iowa State has taken a turn for the worse, as Keshon Gilbert will miss the rest of the season due to a muscle strain, a setback confirmed by head coach TJ Otzelberger.
In light of these developments, potential upset contenders like UC San Diego and Yale are emerging as key players in this region, alongside the North Carolina Tar Heels, who were a surprising addition to the tournament and will face San Diego State in the First Four.
Here’s a detailed look at the South Region:
Which of the top-four seeds has the most favorable draw in this region?
Michigan State appears to have the most advantageous path. If the Auburn Tigers were to face Louisville in the second round, they would find themselves in a challenging environment, playing in Lexington, which could feel like a home game for the Cardinals. This scenario raises eyebrows regarding the committee’s decisions. While Louisville has had a commendable season and is back in the tournament for the first time since 2019, their fan support could be a significant factor.
On the other hand, neither Marquette nor New Mexico poses a significant threat to the Spartans. The 3-seed Iowa State is already at a disadvantage without Gilbert. Although 6-seed Ole Miss, under Chris Beard and led by guard Sean Pedulla, could be a dark horse, it’s hard to envision Michigan State exiting before the Elite Eight. If Iowa State can contain Richardson and find their rhythm with Curtis Jones, they could prove dangerous, but the Spartans have the upper hand due to their opponent’s injury woes.
What is the most intriguing first-round matchup in this region?
The matchup between Michigan and UC San Diego stands out as the most compelling first-round clash. The Wolverines recently claimed the Big Ten Tournament title for the first time since 2018, led by Tre Donaldson and Danny Wolf. Meanwhile, the Big West champion Tritons boast a star player in Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones, who averages 19.5 points, 5.5 rebounds, and 3.7 assists per game, contributing to their impressive 30-4 record. Both teams rank among the top 30 in defensive efficiency, making this contest a potential showcase of tactical basketball. Will Michigan’s imposing frontcourt be able to handle UC San Diego’s fast-paced style? This matchup promises to be a thrilling watch.
Who are the must-see players in this region?
Five standout players are essential viewing in this region. National Player of the Year frontrunner Johni Broome leads the charge, captivating audiences with his skills. Jase Richardson’s recent rise has also drawn attention. The matchup between Louisville and Creighton is another highlight, featuring Chucky Hepburn and four-time Big East Defensive Player of the Year Ryan Kalkbrenner. The contrasting styles of Louisville’s fast-paced offense and Creighton’s methodical approach will be intriguing. Additionally, John Poulakidas from Yale, averaging nearly 20 points per game, should not be overlooked.
[MORE: 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament bracket here]
What is the most likely first-round upset in this region?
The South Region is indeed a breeding ground for surprises! Both UC San Diego and Yale have strong chances to pull off upsets, with UC San Diego poised to defeat Michigan and Yale looking to take down Texas A&M for the second consecutive year. The Bulldogs possess excellent balance and three-point shooting, which could challenge the Aggies, a team known for their physical play. If Poulakidas continues his impressive form, he could disrupt Texas A&M’s game plan. However, if the Aggies manage to tighten their defense and limit the perimeter threats, they might find success, led by Wade Taylor and Zhuric Phelps. Still, the potential for chaos looms large in this region.
Who will win this region?
Michigan State is favored to emerge victorious in this region due to their ability to neutralize a wide range of offensive strategies. Their transition game can generate easy scoring opportunities, and Richardson consistently rises to the occasion. If the Spartans can dominate the boards and their perimeter players maintain shooting accuracy, they will be a formidable opponent for any team they face.
