Warnock vs. Walker Odds Favor Dems

Herschel Walker and Raphael Warnock in front of a Georgia state flag

Herschel Walker and Raphael Warnock in front of a Georgia state flag

If it seems like just yesterday that Georgia voters held a runoff to decide the party’s majority in the US Senate, then somehow it was. In January 2021, Raphael Warnock and Jon Ossoff both won their respective elections, achieving a 51-50 majority in the US Senate.

Just 18 months later, the Peach State is locked in another US Senate runoff, this time between incumbent Raphael Warnock and GOP challenger Herschel Walker.

Warnock won last month’s general election by less than 38,000 votes, a margin narrow enough to cause a runoff. Georgia requires US Senate election winners to get at least 50% of the vote, a total that Warnock missed by a little over half a percent.

GA US Senate Election Results – November 8th

  • Raphael Warnock – 1,946,117 votes – 49.44%
  • Herschel Walker – 1,908,442 votes – 48.49%

Votes are being cast and counted in Georgia today and at least two online political sportsbooks have odds and props for Walker vs. Warnock on the boards.

Unlike during the general election where the difference was less than 1%, BetOnline now forecast an outcome where Warnock wins with over 3.5% of the vote.

Georgia: Warnock Edge of Victory

  • About 3.5% -150
  • Under 3.5% +110

They also suggest with the following prop that Walker has no chance of winning today. Warnock’s -2500 moneyline implies a 96% chance of winning and requires a $25 bet just to make a $1 profit when you bet on him.

Alternatively, Herschel Walker’s odds would yield solid returns if he were the upset winner, as a dollar bet on his +800 moneyline would return an 8 to 1 win.

US Senate 2022 – Georgia

  • Raphael Warnock (D)-2500
  • Herschel Walker (R) +800

BetUS has chimed in with some political prop bets of its own, and also predicts a crucial win for the Democratic Party.

Odds for Senator Georgia

  • Herschel Walker (R) +850
  • Raphael Warnock (D)-2500

The reason above is why we always advise online shopping for the best payouts as Walker’s odds at BetUS are 50 points lower than BetOnline.

GA Runoff Odds – Warnock’s winning margin

  • Over 3½ profit margin -150
  • Under 3½ profit margin +110

Why is Walker, who just lost a close race, now preferred to lose big? No majority is at stake this time, as the DNC has already retained control of the United States Senate for the next two years.

Given the poor results of Trump-backed candidates in the 2022 mid-election cycle, voters are now poised to turn their backs on Walker.

The following prop is a pre-arranged combination for college football and election results wagering, and winning the wager requires both a Hershal Walker win and a University of Georgia CFP National Championship on January 9th.

Herschel Walker Wins & Georgia Wins National Championship

There is no “no” option in the combo above, and the chances of success are another solid indicator of a walker loss. The reason? The Bulldogs are big favorites to win the NCAA Football National Championship and have the best chance of the bottom four teams to do so.

If you actually want to bet on Walker to win in GA then invest in the above prop bet which includes a UGA National Title as they are currently 510 points ahead of Michigan Wolverines, their closest competitor, in the money line odds.

Warnock vs Walker Election Odds – BetOnline, BetUS

Source – New York Times, AP News

Dave Gallo

Dave Gallo is a pioneering sports analytics expert, renowned for his revolutionary work in AI-driven sports simulations, projections, and advanced statistical analysis. With a profound passion for sports and technology, he crafts cutting-edge computer models that accurately predict outcomes. Dave's game-changing insights have reshaped strategy, player evaluation, and decision-making across various sports. His dynamic presentations make complex analytics accessible and inspiring, ensuring his legacy as a visionary in sports analytics. Check out Dave's Pick Record.

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