Madden Super Bowl Prediction: Which Game Odds Cashed?

madden super bowl prediction: which game odds cashed?

EA’s Madden NFL 23 has announced its prediction for Super Bowl 57 between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Kansas City Chiefs – and if that result comes true, those who bet on the Eagles and the Unders will be very lucky.

In this teaser video released Monday, former NFL wide receiver Chad “Ochocinco” Johnson is shown the simulated Super Bowl 57 match as he travels to Glendale, AZ for the game:

Football fans and sports bettors don’t see much in this 103-second video, but there’s still a lot to deconstruct — most notably, the Eagles earning a 31-17 win over the Chiefs to claim their second Super Bowl title in five years win .

Here is a breakdown of the main Super Bowl odds markets affected by the information in the video (odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook):

Super Bowl 57 Odds

spreadEagle -1.5 (-110) | Chiefs +1.5 (-110)Eagle -1.5 (-110)
In total50.5 (-115/-105)U50.5 (-105)
money lineEagle ML (-122) | Chiefs ML (+104)Eagle ML (-122)

If your Super Bowl predictions resulted in the Eagles winning the Super Bowl, then you will like the outcome of this simulation. Philadelphia isn’t just beating Kansas City — it’s doing so convincingly, continuing a trend in which it won its first two playoff games against the New York Giants and San Francisco by a combined score of 69-14.

Overall bettors would have worked up quite a sweat here as this game was less than a field goal away from paying off the over. I like to think of over-bettors cursing the kicker who missed a field goal earlier in the game (okay, there’s no guarantee it happened, but it sure would spice up that narrative a bit).

Props by Jalen Hurts

Stat line: 2 TD passes
Passing TDs1.5 (-110/-120)O1.5 (-110)

We don’t know how the Eagles scored their other two touchdowns (assuming they came to 31 via four converted TDs and a field goal). But we do know that Hurts led the way with touchdown passes to each of his top two receivers. I’d like to think that Hurts added a noisy score; After all, he led QBs with 13 rushing TDs. (A Hurts Rushing Score in Super Bowl 57 is +100 over FanDuel.)

Patrick Mahomes Props

Stat Line: 29-39, 249 passyards, 1 TD, 1 INT (minimum)
degrees exist26.5 (-114/-114)U26.5 (-114)
Passing farms292.5 (-114/-114)U292.5 (-114)
Passing TDs1.5 (-200/+148)U1.5 (+148)
interceptYes (-122), No (-108)Yes (-122)

When the Madden Super Bowl sim results come about, you will cash in on these under-props no matter which of the notable sports betting sites you use. Mahomes is clearly underpowered in this scenario, failing to complete 250 passing yards on a single score (I’m betting tight end Travis Kelce, although I really have no idea). Better luck next year.

063 1438810338

HOUSTON, TEXAS – NOVEMBER 03: AJ Brown #11 of the Philadelphia Eagles celebrates a touchdown in the third quarter against the Houston Texans on November 03, 2022 in Houston, Texas at NRG Stadium. Carmen Mandato/Getty Images/AFP

AJ Brown Props

Stats line: 8 receptions, 114 yards, TD
receptions5.5 (+102/-136)O5.5 (+102)
yards received72.5 (-114/-114)O72.5 (-114)
Anytime TD+125Yes

Brown’s Super Bowl odds sure feel conservative given what he was able to do in the Madden sim. Not only does he throw his defender off easily in the play shown above, but he also scores the ball with ease. Don’t be surprised if Brown makes at least one catch like this in the actual Super Bowl; he is so talented.

Props by Devonta Smith

Statistics line: Received from TD
Anytime TD+165Yes

We don’t see much of Smith in this video, but we do know that he intercepts an end zone pass from Hurts with a nice stutter stop move. However, this isn’t exactly a shocker; He has the sixth-lowest chance of scoring a touchdown at Super Bowl 57.

Chris Jones props

Stat line: 4 tackles, 2 sacks
tackles + assists3.5 (-102/-130)O3.5 (-102)
Anytime bagYes (-118), No (-108)Yes (-118)
2+ sacks+500Yes

Jones is the only Chiefs player with a commendable performance in this video, beating Hurts twice to capitalize on some pretty long Super Bowl sack prop odds. Hurts was actually one of the most-sacked quarterbacks in the NFL during the regular season, which is why the Madden franchise is seeing big things for Jones this weekend.

CJ Gardner-Johnson Props

Stats: 5 tackles, 1 interception
tackles + assists5.5 (-122/-108)U5.5 (-108)
Anytime INTYes (+630), No (-1400)Yes (+630)

A Gardner-Johnson INT from Mahomes will pay out well for loyal bettors – in fact, it’s the most profitable result of all we see in the video. Gardner-Johnson just manages to convert the over on his tackles + assists prop, but we suspect he won’t mind much if he ends up picking up Mahomes.

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Dave Gallo

Dave Gallo is a pioneering sports analytics expert, renowned for his revolutionary work in AI-driven sports simulations, projections, and advanced statistical analysis. With a profound passion for sports and technology, he crafts cutting-edge computer models that accurately predict outcomes. Dave's game-changing insights have reshaped strategy, player evaluation, and decision-making across various sports. His dynamic presentations make complex analytics accessible and inspiring, ensuring his legacy as a visionary in sports analytics. Check out Dave's Pick Record.

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