The Milwaukee Brewers prepare to face the Pittsburgh Pirates in what promises to be an intriguing season finale. With a record of 90-68, the Brewers have already secured their place atop the National League Central Division. In contrast, the Pirates sit at 74-84, languishing at the bottom of the same division. For this matchup, the Brewers will call on Aaron Civale as their starting pitcher, who has demonstrated solid performance lately by allowing only six runs over his last three starts. On the other hand, the Pirates will rely on Mitch Keller, who has given up 11 runs in his past two outings.
Brewers Lean on Strong Lineup to Support Civale
The Brewers have had a remarkable season, clinching the best record in their division. Aaron Civale, despite recent improvements, has faced challenges throughout the season, allowing 82 runs across 155 innings. He carries a .249 expected opponent batting average, a 21.9 whiff rate, and an expected ERA of 4.09, indicating that hitters are finding success against him.
Despite Civale’s ups and downs, the Brewers’ offense has been formidable, averaging 4.82 runs per game. William Contreras boasts a .283/.366/.472 line with 23 home runs, while Willy Adames contributes with a .252/.332/.470 line and 32 home runs. Jackson Chourio adds depth with a .275/.329/.469 line and 21 home runs. Joey Ortiz and Rhys Hoskins have combined for 36 home runs and 349 total bases, rounding out a powerful lineup ready to support their pitcher.
Pirates Seek Redemption with Keller on the Mound
The Pirates are eager to finish their season on a positive note after facing numerous challenges. Mitch Keller, taking the mound for this game, has had a rough year, giving up 87 runs in 173 innings. His .250 expected opponent batting average, 21.2 whiff rate, and 4.26 expected ERA suggest that he has struggled to contain opposing hitters.
While Keller has had difficulties, the Pirates’ offense has also faltered, averaging only 4.10 runs per game. Oneil Cruz presents a bright spot with a .266/.329/.462 line and 21 home runs, while Bryan Reynolds adds his own contributions with a .276/.343/.443 line and 22 home runs. Unfortunately, the rest of the lineup has not kept pace, with only three batters boasting an OPS+ above 100, making it easier for opposing pitchers to manage the Pirates’ offense.
Best Bets for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
The Brewers are poised to make an impactful statement in this matchup. With an impressive average of 4.82 runs per game, they appear ready to capitalize on their offensive strengths, particularly with players like William Contreras and Willy Adames stepping up. Aaron Civale’s recent form suggests he can maintain a solid performance, allowing the Brewers’ bullpen to secure a potential win. Expect a strong showing from Milwaukee as they aim to finish the season on a high note.
