The New York Mets (87-69, 82-74 RL, 79-72-5 O/U) face off against the Atlanta Braves (85-71, 72-84 RL, 59-91-6 O/U) in a pivotal three-game divisional series starting on Tuesday evening. The Mets will send Luis Severino to the mound, while the Braves counter with rookie Spencer Schwellenbach. The season series stands tied at 5-5, adding extra intensity to this matchup.
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Mets Gear Up for a Key Series
Luis Severino takes the mound for New York after a solid performance in his last start, where he allowed three runs on five hits over six innings against the Phillies. With a 2.87 ERA in September, Severino has been a consistent arm for the Mets, boasting a 3.79 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and an 11-6 record in 178 innings this season. Against the Braves, he has allowed four runs in 10 innings, with a career ERA of 3.15 in 20 innings pitched.
As the Mets enter this crucial series, they currently hold the final wildcard position, sitting two games ahead of the Braves. They have achieved victory in four of their last five series, including a recent sweep against the Nationals. Over the weekend, they faced the Phillies, winning three of four despite surrendering 22 runs. Notably, they maintain a seven-game advantage over .500 when playing away from home.
Francisco Lindor’s status is uncertain due to a back injury, but Mark Vientos has stepped up significantly this season. The 24-year-old is enjoying a breakout year, hitting 25 home runs with 67 RBIs and an impressive .842 OPS. Against the Braves, he has recorded three RBIs and a .757 OPS. Pete Alonso has also been productive, collecting five RBIs and a .956 OPS in matchups against Atlanta.
On the offensive side, New York averages 4.81 runs per game, ranking fifth in the league, while their pitching staff holds a 3.93 ERA, placing them 12th overall.
Braves Seek Vital Series Victory
Spencer Schwellenbach will take the ball for Atlanta on Tuesday. In his last outing, he limited the Reds to just one run in six innings, earning the win. The rookie has been instrumental in keeping the Braves in the playoff race, with a 3.18 ERA this month and a 3.61 ERA along with a 1.10 WHIP for the season, where he has a 7-7 record over 109.2 innings. Notably, Schwellenbach delivered seven scoreless innings in his only previous start against the Mets.
With the Braves trailing by two games, winning this series is crucial. They have shown signs of improvement at the plate, recently winning a series against the Reds and taking three out of four games from the Marlins while allowing only eight runs. Atlanta boasts a solid home record, sitting nine games above .500.
Marcell Ozuna has experienced a dip this month, contributing just three RBIs. Nonetheless, he remains a key player for Atlanta, having hit 38 home runs with 101 RBIs and a .941 OPS. Against the Mets, Ozuna has been particularly strong, posting a 1.09 OPS. The Braves have also welcomed back Ozzie Albies from injury, who has had a solid season with 47 RBIs and a .747 OPS, including six RBIs and a .783 OPS against New York.
Atlanta averages 4.38 runs per game, ranking 16th in the league, while their pitching staff boasts an impressive 3.54 ERA, placing them second overall.
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Best Bets for New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
The New York Mets have struggled recently, going 3-3 in their last six games on the road. In contrast, the Braves find themselves in a must-win situation, trailing the Mets by two games for the last wildcard spot. Atlanta has shown resilience, winning four of their last five games.
Moreover, Mets pitcher Luis Severino has faced challenges against Atlanta, with a concerning 6.62 ERA in 50.1 innings pitched. On the other hand, Spencer Schwellenbach has delivered strong performances, including seven scoreless innings in his prior matchup with the Mets. His current form includes a sharp 3.18 ERA this month, and the Braves have won three of his last four starts at home.
