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Exciting Showdown: New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves – Predictions and Expert Picks for September 30, 2024!

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction and Picks - September 30, 2024

In a pivotal matchup, the New York Mets (88-72, 34-77 RL, 80-75-5 O/U) face off against the Atlanta Braves (88-72, 74-86 RL, 59-95-6 O/U) in the opening game of a crucial doubleheader on Monday. Tylor Megill will take the mound for the Mets, while the Braves counter with Spencer Schwellenbach. Originally set for last week, these games were postponed due to a hurricane. The Braves currently lead the season series 6-5.

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Tylor Megill Takes the Hill for New York

Tylor Megill is slated to pitch in the first game for the Mets. His last outing saw him allow just one run over four innings against the Phillies, resulting in a no-decision for the Mets, who ultimately secured a win. This month, Megill has been impressive, holding a 1.80 ERA with a season total of 3.98 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 72.1 innings pitched, boasting a 4-5 record. In his only matchup against the Braves this season, he surrendered four runs in six innings, contributing to a less-than-ideal 4.94 ERA in 47.1 career innings against this rival.

The Mets faced significant struggles earlier in the season, falling nearly 10 games below .500, but they have rebounded well and won four of their last five series. Despite losing two of three against the Brewers over the weekend, they salvaged their series with a shutout victory on Sunday. On the road, New York stands five games above .500.

Slugger Pete Alonso has been a standout performer this month, racking up 12 RBIs and a .752 OPS. With 34 home runs and 88 RBIs for the season, he has a .792 OPS. Notably, Alonso has excelled against the Braves, collecting eight RBIs and a .968 OPS in their matchups.

As a team, New York averages 4.75 runs per game, placing them eighth in the league, while their pitching staff holds a 3.95 ERA, ranking them 15th.

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Spencer Schwellenbach on the Mound for Atlanta

Spencer Schwellenbach will be the starting pitcher for Atlanta. In his last performance, he delivered a stellar seven-inning game against the Mets, allowing just one run and earning a win. This rookie has had a strong season, recording a 2.73 ERA this month and a 3.47 ERA with a 1.07 WHIP over 116.2 innings, currently holding an 8-7 record. Remarkably, he has allowed only one run in 14 innings against the Mets.

Despite battling injuries throughout the season, the Braves have positioned themselves well. They recently secured a significant series victory against the Royals, limiting them to just five runs over three games. Atlanta boasts a solid home record, standing 11 games above .500. They need to secure at least one win in this doubleheader to clinch a wildcard berth; a sweep would eliminate their playoff hopes.

Matt Olson has been particularly clutch in recent games, with eight RBIs over his last eight appearances, bringing his monthly total to 21 RBIs and an impressive 1.01 OPS. This season, Olson has hit 29 home runs and driven in 98 runs, holding a .795 OPS. Against the Mets, he has shown strong performance with a .909 OPS.

On average, Atlanta scores 4.35 runs per game, placing them 15th overall, while their pitching staff ranks second with a 3.48 ERA.

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Essential Bets for Mets vs. Braves

This matchup serves as a critical playoff game, with both teams tied in the wildcard race. The winner will secure a wildcard position. While the Mets have shown resilience lately, the Braves have a knack for performing well in high-pressure situations. They previously defeated the Mets 5-1 in the initial game of their series before last week’s postponements.

Tyler Megill’s struggles against Atlanta, highlighted by his 4.94 ERA in 47.1 innings, contrast sharply with Schwellenbach’s recent form. The rookie has been exceptional, allowing just one run in his last 14 innings against the Mets, sporting a 2.73 ERA this month. His performance will be crucial as both teams vie for postseason contention.

Written By

Dave Gallo is a leading sports bettor and handicapper since 1999, known for his impressive 10-0 winning streaks. A journalism, advertising, and media studies major at the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, he combines his betting expertise with academic knowledge. Gallo's strong work ethic and passion for sports fuel his ongoing success and scholarly pursuits.

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