As the New York Mets (87-71, 41-36 away) step onto the field for what they hope will be their final game of the season, the stakes couldn’t be higher. A potential rematch with the Milwaukee Brewers (92-68, 46-33 home) looms in the postseason, but Sunday’s 3:10 p.m. EST matchup is far from a conclusion for the Mets. The Brew Crew has already secured the NL’s third seed and will likely rest key players in anticipation of Tuesday’s playoff action. Regardless of the outcome on Sunday, American Family Field will serve as the battleground for this decisive game and the upcoming NL wild-card series. Both teams are keen to make a statement before October intensifies the competition.
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Mets in a Tight Spot
The Mets find themselves in a tense situation, tied for the final two NL wild-card spots. A doubleheader against the Braves is on the horizon unless Arizona is eliminated beforehand. While winning their remaining games is crucial, it does not guarantee a playoff berth. New York’s offense, which ranks seventh in runs per game (4.78), will be pivotal in their quest for victory on Sunday. Their batting statistics showcase a competitive edge: 11th in batting average, eighth in on-base percentage, and ninth in slugging percentage. They also rank sixth in home runs and seventh in walk percentage. However, the Mets have struggled with stolen bases, sitting at 17th in the league. Their ability to perform under pressure will be tested. Will they rise to the occasion?
A strong second half from the pitching staff has been integral to New York’s postseason ambitions. Their pitching plan for Sunday is uncertain due to the schedule. Options like Luis Severino, Tylor Megill, and Jose Quintana could take the mound. However, using all three in the upcoming games would compromise their readiness for Tuesday’s playoff opener. New York is likely to rely on a bullpen game, which comes with its own challenges as their relievers rank 17th in ERA and 14th in FIP. If the bullpen takes the lead, they will face a formidable lineup.
Key Injuries – Jeff McNeil (out)
Brewers’ Strategy for Sunday
With no movement in their playoff seed, the Brewers are likely treating Sunday as a day for experimentation. Expect key players to be rested, but the Brewers still boast an impressive offense that scores 4.80 runs per game, ranking sixth in the league. Their statistics reflect a balanced approach: second in walk rate, second in stolen bases, and third in stolen-base percentage. Following their recent 8-4 victory, they stand seventh in batting average and fourth in on-base percentage. However, their power numbers show room for improvement, as they rank 15th in home runs. Fans will be curious to see who takes the field and how they perform.
Aware of the upcoming postseason, Milwaukee’s pitching strategy remains unclear. They are unlikely to start any regular pitchers to keep their best options available for the playoff games. It is plausible that they will promote a pitcher from the minors for this contest. Their bullpen, which ranks second in ERA and sixth in WAR, may not utilize their top relievers, possibly giving chances to those looking to make an impression. The question is whether Milwaukee’s pitching depth can withstand the pressure from a desperate Mets lineup.
Key Injuries – Christian Yelich (out)
Best Bets for New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers
What incentive do the Brewers have on Sunday? This game will focus on relaxation, experimentation, and ensuring their key players are ready for the playoffs. In contrast, the Mets are playing for their postseason lives, needing a win to avoid another potential playoff hurdle.
Both offenses present challenges, but the Mets are likely to field their strongest lineup, while the Brewers may not. New York will maximize their pitching options, while Milwaukee may hold back. The Mets’ urgency could lead to a significant victory, making them the team to watch in this matchup.
