The Tennessee Titans are set to face off against the Buffalo Bills this Sunday at Highmark Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET.
The Bills are favored by nine points, and the total score for the game is projected at 41 points.
Tennessee enters this matchup with a record of 1-4, having lost their last game 20-17 to the Indianapolis Colts. Their only win this season came against the Miami Dolphins, where they triumphed 31-12.
On the other hand, Buffalo boasts a 4-2 record after a close 23-20 victory against the New York Jets, which ended a two-game losing streak.
Mike Briggs has been on a hot streak this NFL season, currently holding a 33-21 betting record (+11.59 units). Consider placing your bets with Briggs for this week!
Tennessee’s Key to Success: Limiting Turnovers
The Titans faced a missed opportunity in their recent game against Indianapolis, a disappointing outcome for a team eager to secure victories before facing tough opponents like the Bills and the Detroit Lions. Tennessee struggled offensively, recording only 241 total yards and an average of just 3.5 yards per pass attempt. They let a seven-point lead slip away in the fourth quarter, with quarterback Will Levis contributing to the loss by throwing for only 93 yards and adding another interception to his tally. This season, Levis has thrown seven interceptions in five games, resulting in ten turnovers overall.
“We aren’t making enough plays to win close games,” Titans head coach Brian Callahan commented. “I need to find a way to help us improve because losing one-score games is challenging.”
Levis has completed 66.4 percent of his passes for 699 yards and five touchdowns, with his main receiving targets being DeAndre Hopkins (14 catches for 175 yards and one TD) and Calvin Ridley (nine catches for 141 yards and one TD). The Titans’ rushing attack features Tony Pollard (78 carries for 339 yards and three touchdowns).
Statistically, Tennessee averages 19.2 points per game (ranked 22nd) and 253.2 total yards (31st), with 135.0 passing yards (31st) and 118.2 rushing yards (15th). Their ten turnovers rank third-most in the NFL. The Titans convert only 29.3 percent of their third downs (30th) and score touchdowns on 61.5 percent of red zone trips (12th).
Defensively, they allow 22.0 points per game (13th) and 248.8 total yards (1st), with 137.0 passing yards (1st) and 111.8 rushing yards (10th). However, they have forced just three turnovers, the second-fewest in the league. Opponents convert 31.8 percent of their third downs (5th) and score touchdowns on 40.0 percent of red zone trips (4th).
Key injuries for Tennessee include: DT T’Vondre Sweat (knee), LB Ernest Jones IV (illness), QB Will Levis (shoulder), CB L’Jarius Sneed (quad), WR Treylon Burks (knee), RB Tyjae Spears (hamstring), DL Keondre Coburn (knee), OL Jaelyn Duncan (shoulder), OL Peter Skoronski (neck), and OL Dillon Radunz (ribs) are all listed as questionable.
Buffalo’s Momentum: Building on Recent Success
The Bills showcased resilience in their recent game against the Jets, with QB Josh Allen completing 19 of 25 passes and demonstrating his athleticism with several key runs. They also saw strong contributions from RB Ray Davis (20 carries for 97 yards), who stepped up in place of the injured starter James Cook. The Bills’ defense limited New York to just 4-for-12 on third downs, culminating in a crucial interception in the final minutes.
“Our primary objective is to make the playoffs, and winning our division is essential for that,” Allen stated. “We recognize the significance of this game, especially with us at 4-2 and holding a 2.5-game lead in the standings.”
Allen leads the Buffalo offense with 1,160 passing yards and 13 total touchdowns, without throwing an interception this season. His leading target is Khalil Shakir, who has 20 receptions for 249 yards and two touchdowns. The recent acquisition of Cleveland WR Amari Cooper (24 receptions for 250 yards and two TDs) adds depth to the receiving corps. Cook is expected to return soon, which will further bolster their ground game.
Buffalo averages 27.5 points per game (ranked 6th) and 309.7 total yards (21st), with 186.3 passing yards (25th) and 123.3 rushing yards (12th). They have the fewest turnovers in the league, with only two. The Bills convert 34.3 percent of their third-down attempts (24th) and score touchdowns on 68.1 percent of their red zone trips (6th).
Defensively, Buffalo allows 21.0 points (11th) and 350.8 total yards (21st) per game, including 210.7 passing yards (15th) and 140.2 rushing yards (22nd). They have forced ten turnovers, while opponents convert 42.3 percent of their third downs (22nd) and score touchdowns on 45.4 percent of red zone trips (9th).
Key injuries for Buffalo include: QB Josh Allen (hand), RB Ray Davis (calf), G Connor McGovern (shoulder), WR Khalil Shakir (ankle), DT DaQuan Jones (foot), TE Dalton Kincaid (collarbone), WR Mack Hollins (shoulder), DT Ed Oliver (hamstring), and RB James Cook (toe) are all listed as questionable.
Betting Insights for Titans vs. Bills
When it comes to betting, the Bills appear to have the edge, despite the sizable spread. They rank third in offensive DVOA and 12th in defensive DVOA. The addition of Cooper is likely to enhance an already talented receiving group that was in need of more playmaking ability. Despite having to catch passes from Deshaun Watson, Cooper managed to outperform Buffalo’s previous pass-catchers in both receptions and yardage.
On the Titans’ side, they present a challenge for bettors, even with an eight-point cushion. Their performance against a struggling Indianapolis defense last week raised concerns about their ability to compete on the road against a seasoned Bills team. While Tennessee has a solid running game, their aerial attack is inconsistent, especially with Levis’ turnover issues likely to resurface in this matchup. Betting on the Bills seems to be a more confident choice this week.
