2024 NFL Week 5 picks indicate that bettors should consider the Vikings, Texans, and Saints to cover their spreads directly.
The Minnesota Vikings have proven to be a formidable force this season, demonstrating that their 4-0 record is no fluke. Meanwhile, the Kansas City Chiefs are relying heavily on their defensive unit to maintain their winning streak.
Can these undefeated teams continue their momentum into Week 5?
Let’s examine the best betting opportunities for this weekend’s matchups.
(All times ET)
SUNDAY, OCT. 6
JETS @ VIKINGS (9:30 a.m., NFL Network)
The Minnesota Vikings stand tall at 4-0, sharing the spotlight with the Chiefs as one of the only undefeated teams in the league.
Their impressive start has raised eyebrows, but evidence suggests that their success is sustainable.
Quarterback Sam Darnold thrives in a Shanahan offense, which is designed to elevate quarterbacks who excel in ball protection and quick decision-making. Supported by a solid offensive line and a premier running back, Darnold is well-equipped to manage opposing defenses.
Defensively, Brian Flores has emerged as a standout assistant coach this season, orchestrating effective plays and strategic pressures. While the scoreboard reflected a close 31-29 victory over the Packers, a fumbled punt at a pivotal moment allowed Green Bay to claw back into the game.
Minnesota’s victories over the 49ers, Texans, and Packers solidify their status as a legitimate contender.
In contrast, the New York Jets appear to be struggling. Despite expectations that Aaron Rodgers’ return would bolster their performance, the team remains poorly coached and disorganized.
Recent tensions have surfaced, with star receiver Garrett Wilson publicly criticizing the offensive coordinator, while the head coach attributes their disappointing home loss to the Broncos to weather conditions. This team is ill-prepared to compete against a strong opponent like the Vikings on the road.
With superior coaching, better strategies, and a more dynamic team playing at home, the Vikings are likely to cover the spread.
BILLS @ TEXANS (1 p.m., CBS)
The Buffalo Bills find themselves in a challenging situation this weekend, facing back-to-back road games against potential AFC title contenders.
After a disappointing loss to the Ravens, they now travel to confront the 3-1 Texans. The Bills have a few weaknesses that Houston can exploit, similar to what the Ravens accomplished. The Texans possess a strong running game that could capitalize on Buffalo’s secondary vulnerabilities.
On the offensive side, the Bills are searching for reliable receiving options for quarterback Josh Allen, who currently lacks a clear No. 1 target. This could lead to a situation where the Bills’ offense relies heavily on Allen’s individual performance against the Texans’ defense.
While Allen has the talent to win games solo, it will be a tough challenge against a well-rounded team like the Texans.
Houston is expected to cover and possibly win this matchup.
MONDAY, OCT. 7
SAINTS @ CHIEFS (8:15 p.m., ESPN)
The Kansas City Chiefs remain one of the two unbeaten teams in the NFL after four weeks, winning their games by an average margin of just five points. Although they have faced several playoff-caliber teams, their tendency to keep games close has persisted from last season.
While Patrick Mahomes leads the offense, the team struggles to create explosive plays that can secure decisive victories. Mahomes is experiencing the most challenging start to his career, with issues in footwork and ball placement leading to unexpected turnovers.
Though these problems may seem fixable, until they manifest positively during games, they remain a concern.
With injuries affecting key players, including the top running back and two primary receiving targets, the Chiefs’ offensive capabilities are further limited. As a result, their defense is expected to play a pivotal role in upcoming games, mirroring their strategy from earlier this season.
Every game involving the Chiefs is likely to remain competitive.
While Kansas City’s defense has performed admirably this season, the New Orleans Saints could pose a significant challenge. The Chiefs can stop the run, but this capability is not always consistent.
If the Saints establish their running game early, they can dictate the pace and put points on the board. However, injuries on New Orleans’ offensive line and inconsistent play at tackle may hinder their effectiveness. Alvin Kamara’s ability to exploit the Chiefs’ linebacker weaknesses could be a game-changer if he finds space against Nick Bolton.
Combining Kansas City’s offensive struggles with the Saints’ running game and ability to challenge the Chiefs’ linebackers suggests that this matchup will also be tightly contested.
The Saints are the team to watch in this matchup.
