Wild vs Flames Prediction and Picks for April 11 2025

The Minnesota Wild (43-29-7) are taking on the Calgary Flames (37-27-14) tonight in a high-stakes Western Conference matchup at the Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary. Puck drop is scheduled for 10:00 PM ET. This game marks the third and final meeting between these teams in the regular season, with the Flames having won the first two matchups. Minnesota enters as slight -130 road favorites, and the game has an over/under set at 5.5 goals.

Current State of Both Teams

The Wild are pushing for their third consecutive win, needing a victory tonight to solidify their position in the playoffs. They’re tied with the St. Louis Blues for the first Wild Card slot in the Western Conference with 93 points, but Minnesota holds an extra game in hand. In their last outing, Minnesota prevailed against the San Jose Sharks in a thrilling 8-7 overtime win. Kirill Kaprizov returned from injury to score two goals and boost the team, while Joel Eriksson Ek’s four-goal performance added much-needed offensive firepower. However, goaltending remains a concern following that high-scoring affair, as Marc-André Fleury allowed seven goals on 31 shots.

Filip Gustavsson, who boasts a solid 2.54 GAA and .915 save percentage this season, is projected to return in net. The Wild’s offensive potential greatly increases with Kaprizov and Eriksson Ek healthy, but their defense needs a stronger showing than it had against San Jose.

The Calgary Flames, meanwhile, find themselves in desperation mode. They sit five points behind the Wild and Blues, with a game in hand, but they will be eliminated from playoff contention if they lose tonight. Calgary has struggled with scoring consistency, and their defense has faltered late in critical games, including a recent 4-3 overtime loss to the Anaheim Ducks where they blew a two-goal third-period lead. Dustin Wolf, with a 2.64 GAA and .910 save percentage this season, is expected to start in goal.

The Flames’ offense is led by Nazem Kadri (31 goals, 30 assists) and Jonathan Huberdeau, who have produced key contributions this season. However, their inability to score more than three goals regularly could hinder them in such a pivotal matchup.

Strengths and Weaknesses

Minnesota’s biggest advantage lies in its offensive depth, particularly with Kaprizov and Eriksson Ek stepping up at a crucial time. The Wild have also been strong on the road this season, posting a 22-12-5 record. However, their defensive performance is uneven, as exhibited in the recent high-scoring game against the Sharks.

Calgary, playing at home where they are 20-12-6, benefits from its defensive discipline and a consistent penalty kill (ranked better than Minnesota’s). However, the Flames’ offensive woes have been evident throughout the season, and they’ll need a significant uptick in production to compete against Minnesota’s revitalized attack.

Prediction and Betting Insights

The Wild are coming into this game with momentum and a more stable playoff outlook but must address lingering defensive concerns. On the other hand, the Flames are playing for their postseason survival, adding enormous pressure to their situation. These factors make this a tight matchup.

Prediction: The game is expected to be closely contested, but Minnesota has the edge with their recent offensive surge and Gustavsson likely returning to stabilize the net. However, Calgary’s desperation could yield a strong effort, pushing this game into tight margins where a single play, power play, or overtime could decide it.

For those considering betting options:

  • Moneyline: Minnesota Wild (-130) offers potential value.
  • Over/Under: Under 5.5 goals is a reasonable play, as both teams are likely to tighten their defensive strategies under the stakes.
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