The New York Yankees are set to face off against the Seattle Mariners on Wednesday evening at T-Mobile Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 6:40 p.m. PT.
The Yankees hold a slight edge as -115 moneyline favorites, while the total runs for the game are set at 7.5.
New York (87-63 SU, 77-73 RL, and 79-65-6 O/U) will send left-hander Nestor Cortes to the mound. The 29-year-old has a record of 9-10, accompanied by a 3.90 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP across 30 appearances this season, totaling 168.1 innings pitched.
On the other side, Seattle (77-73 SU, 63-87 RL, and 69-70-11 O/U) is opting for right-hander Bryce Miller. The 26-year-old holds an 11-8 record with a 3.12 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP in his 29 starts, also totaling 167.1 innings.
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*Article published before the conclusion of Tuesday’s game.
Aiming for the World Series: The Yankees’ 2024 Vision
The Yankees recently celebrated a 5-2 victory against the Boston Red Sox, led by center fielder Aaron Judge, who hit his MLB-leading 53rd home run. New York’s offense surged early, scoring four runs and maintaining their lead throughout the game, ultimately winning three of four against their rivals. This victory has positioned the Yankees three games ahead of the Baltimore Orioles in the AL East standings.
With a commendable 45-30 record on the road and 56-42 in night games, the Yankees have shown resilience since the All-Star break, winning 29 of their last 52 games. Their upcoming schedule looks favorable, allowing them to keep their playoff hopes alive.
Cortes, who will pitch on Wednesday, had a stellar outing in his last game against Boston, allowing only one run over five innings while striking out nine. His overall performance on the road this season is average, with a record of 4-5 and a 4.81 ERA. When Cortes last faced the Mariners on May 22, he delivered an impressive five-inning shutout, allowing only three hits.
Bryce Miller and the Mariners: Overcoming Past Struggles
Seattle’s recent triumph over the Texas Rangers with a score of 7-0 showcased the dominant pitching of George Kirby, who offered a strong seven-inning performance. The Mariners scored three runs in the first inning, effectively taking control of the game early on. With this victory, they maintain a solid 45-30 home record and a 50-46 mark in night games this season. However, they have struggled since the All-Star break, with a 25-27 record, and will need to finish strong to secure a playoff spot.
Miller is set to take the mound for Seattle. In his last outing against Texas, he allowed just one run over six innings, securing a win. This season, he has excelled at home with a 6-3 record and a 1.99 ERA. However, Miller has faced difficulties against the Yankees, having previously given up five runs, including three home runs, in a May 22 matchup. He currently holds an 0-2 record with a 10.97 ERA in two career starts against New York.
Betting Insights for Yankees vs. Mariners
When examining betting trends, New York boasts a 45-30 run line record on the road, the best in Major League Baseball. Meanwhile, Seattle mirrors this success with a 45-30 record at home, highlighting the reliability of both teams in covering the spread.
Cortes has shown strong performance in recent outings, particularly against a Mariners lineup that has struggled against left-handed pitchers, ranking 26th in wOBA and 27th in wRAA. Notably, he has limited Seattle to a mere nine hits and 14 strikeouts in 47 career at-bats.
Conversely, Miller has struggled against New York, allowing 13 runs and 16 hits in prior matchups, including five home runs. The Yankees have excelled against right-handed pitchers, placing first in wRC+ (121), wRAA (91.0), and wOBA (.338). Given Miller’s challenges against quality opponents, including significant runs allowed in five previous starts, the Yankees appear to be a strong bet to win by at least two runs, with odds sitting around +140.
