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Philly Has All the Advantages in Wednesday’s Eastern Conference Clash (April 14)

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lines, dates & times for all 16 matchups

Publisher’s Note: Kevin Durant was disfellowshipped on Wednesday for quiet. Kyrie Irving has been removed from the injury report and is expected to be available.

Nets vs. 76ers odds

Net odds+6
76ers odds-6
Money line+195 / -250
Over under230.5
Time7 p.m. ET
TVESPN
Odds from Tuesday evening and via BetMGM

The picture of the Eastern Conference playoffs is forming and today’s matchup between the Philadelphia 76ers and the Brooklyn Nets has a big impact on the playoffs.

In a conference in which the top three teams are in their own rankings, the incentive to get number 1 of the seeded places has never been greater, because that place means one of the other two top teams to the final of the Eastern Conference avoid. Today, these two teams will meet for the third and last time in the regular season, with both teams splitting the season series so far.

The Nets have a minor disadvantage as they are playing the second game of an encounter after the Monday night game against the Minnesota Timberwolves was postponed for the day after the police shot Daunte Wright. Despite the postponement, they made it easy for Timberwolves in a 30-point blowout.

Still, odds makers have installed the 76ers as -6.5 point favorites. Let’s find out where the betting value is in this Atlantic Division showdown.

Brooklyn Nets

The Brooklyn Nets are by far the most polarizing team in the league this season. The big three in Kevin Durant, James Harden and Kyrie Irving have only played seven games together this season. While they ran 5-2 in these games you need to wonder if they had enough time to build the chemistry.

Durant has only played 22 games and lacked time with a hamstring strain, and while Harden did a solid job in his absence to carry the team, as soon as Durant changed his mind, Harden went down with his own hamstring strain. Irving also missed time with injuries and personal problems.

With the addition of Blake Griffin and LaMarcus Aldridge, the retirement of DeAndre Jordan and Nicholas Claxton joining the rotation, this is a completely different team from what we saw earlier this season. And there is not even a mention of Harden, who of course started the season in Houston. Still, the Nets are 37-17 and the best record in the Eastern Conference.

Despite the lack of continuity, the Nets have the third best offensive rating in the league, scoring 119.2 points for every 100 possessions in their minutes without waste, according to Cleaning the Glass. Durant returned to the line-up in last Wednesday’s game against the Pelicans and really didn’t miss a stroke, shooting 5-of-5 off the field with 17 points and in Tuesday’s game against the Timberwolves he was 11-of-15 for 31 points, adding four assists and four rebounds. It’s entirely possible for him to rest on the second night of a clash, so be sure to check his injury status before betting on this game.

Irving suspended the game against the Timberwolves for personal reasons and coach Steve Nash said he wasn’t sure he’ll be returning to tonight’s game. Chris Chiozza started in his place but left the game with a thumb injury. If both Irving and Chiozza can’t leave, we can expect more minutes for Bruce Brown and Landry Shamet.

As long as one of the big three plays, the Nets can stay competitive. This team has enough points to compare point by point with everyone. Joe Harris shoots a whopping 47.8% behind the bow at 6.5 attempts per game and Jeff Green also shoots 41.8% from 3-point distance. Since Shamet also shoots almost 40% behind the bow, this team is extremely difficult to stop.

The Nets have the second highest 3-point shot percentage (40.0%) in the league and while the 76ers have the 12th they appear in this game.

The Nets are only 23rd this season. The Nets are 17th in Opponent Points in the Paint (48.1) so it’s hard to imagine they would have much success against Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons.





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Philadelphia 76ers

Unlike the Nets, the 76ers don’t have three of the best isolation scorers in the game. Instead, the 76ers live on the defensive end of the floor, as they are third in the defensive rating, so that opposing teams can only achieve 107.9 points per 100 possessions in their minutes without garbage, according to Cleaning The Glass.

Although Embiid was seen as a catalyst for the 76’s defense, their defenses didn’t break apart in the 12 games he missed with a knee injury. During this stretch, the 76ers went 8-4 and had a defensive rating of just 104.1, which ranked second among the NBA teams. The 76ers suffered on the offensive end of the floor, scoring only 109.9 points per 100 possessions.

Luckily for the 76ers, Embiid is back and out of their game on the 9th. Embiid was in the middle of an MVP caliber season averaging 29.6 points, 11 rebounds, 3.1 assists and 1.5 blocks, and the Nets are an extremely cheap matchup for him as there is a lack of any real defensive greats.

Embiid is in the 81st percentile of the middle class jumpers (49%) and the 76ers shoot the third-best percentage from the middle class (45.8%). In the Nets they face a Nets team that allows the fifth highest opposing field goal percentage (43.5%) from this area of ​​the ground. This is also a cheap matchup for Tobias Harris, who is in the 88th percentile of the middle class jumpers (49%), so I expect a big game from him too.

If there is an Achilles heel for this offense, it is their 3-point shooting. Simmons has been consistently criticized for not shooting threesomes, and the 76s overall shoot the fourth lowest percentage of 3-point attempts (31%), making up 37.2% of it, which is 14th place among NBA teams.

Of course, if the 76ers can dominate the color and lock opposing teams, that doesn’t matter. However, you might have trouble getting outdone from behind against a team like the Nets.

Nets-76ers pick

This is a really bad place for the Brooklyn Nets. Although my model makes the 76s 3.5 point favorites, odds makers opened that spread at 5.5 for a reason. Durant is unlikely to play back-to-back, Harden is still out with a hamstring strain, and there is uncertainty about Irving’s return.

The 76ers’ loss to the Nets in January came with no Durant or Irving in the line-up, but that was essentially last year’s Brooklyn Nets team of Caris LeVert, Jarrett Allen and Taurean Prince. The early season Nets were able to compete and play without Durant and Irving because they had been doing so for two years.

This is a different situation. This team currently consists of Durant, Harden and Irving. There was a bit of disappointment in this game that I don’t think will happen here in the 76ers at home.

I like it when the 76ers win this game and take control of the No. 1 in the conference. I would bet on this game before Durant and Irving are removed from the line-up and this line moves. I bet that at -5.5 but wouldn’t go beyond -6.

Choose: Philadelphia 76ers -5.5 (-110)





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