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NFL Week 3 Last Chance Value Picks



NFL Week 3 Last Chance Value Picks

Nick Williams # 97 of the Detroit Lions. Quinn Harris / Getty Images / AFP

The last chance value picks for the season are linked at start of season. Our record is now 4-1-1 (ATS) after two weeks. Let’s get to the sweep in week 3, and continue redeeming our NFL picks.

Baltimore Ravens versus Detroit Lions

Sunday, September 26, 2021 – 1:00 p.m. EDT at Ford Field

That line opened in Baltimore -8 and stayed there all week. However, there are books that are starting to crumble under the burden of public money given to Ravens. We’re starting to see a couple of 8½’s out there and there’s even one, Bovada, who is now treating Baltimore as a nine-point favorite.

The Ravens are currently the NFL favorites, having defeated the Kansas City juggernaut. However, getting a poor Lions team after such a win has all the elements that make for a disappointing game. After replacing Matthew Stafford with Jared Goff, I thought Detroit performed a lot better than many people expected. They played well with the 49ers, and even had a lead against them in the first half. But they were blown out by the Packers in the second half.

I say we grab the generous nine-point lead over the home dog here and hope the Ravens are still enjoying their tremendous win from last week.

NFL selection: Lions +9 (-122) in Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

Leo +9 (-122)

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Atlanta Falcons vs. New York Giants

Sunday, September 26, 2021 – 1:00 p.m. EDT in the MetLife Stadium

Here we have a few bottom feeders without profit and the only fans interested in this matchup live in either Atlanta or the parts of New York and New Jersey that represent the Giants, not the Jets. We may have to choose between them since they can’t lose.

The NFL odds offered on all of the best online sportsbooks have the Giants as three-point home favorites, but there is a book that recently moved away from that all-important 3 and now treats Big Blue as -2½. While I don’t like to spend money on a poor team, I cannot help but feel that the G-Men still have a lot of work ahead of them.

Daniel Jones #8 of the New York Giants. Rob Carr / Getty Images / AFP

The Giants put in a dismal performance in their 30:29 win over Washington last week and I wouldn’t be surprised if they won this one by double digits. Let’s put 2½ and appreciate the generous number that Heritage offers.

NFL selection: Giants -2½ (-113) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

Giants -2 ½ (-113)

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Chicago Bears vs. Cleveland Browns

Sunday, September 26, 2021 – 1:00 p.m. EDT in the FirstEnergy Stadium

The Browns are hot on the heels of a 31-21 win over the Texans a week after giving the Chiefs everything they could handle in Week 1 before missing 33-29 but the number as 5½ – Cover points favorites. Now they are facing a Bears team that will start its critically acclaimed rookie quarterback Justin Fields, after a decent discharge to injured Andy Dalton last week.

Although the Browns have been rated at -7 by the odds makers since the lines were first released, we now see that public money is driving these numbers up. It’s quite a big deal when we lose sight of the magic number 7, whether it is over or under. Here we see that some of the books have now moved to 7½ which whets our appetite for a live street dog here.

Baker Mayfield may not be able to start as soon and often because of injury issues with the Browns. Jarvis Landy will not be on duty Sunday, having suffered an MCL strain last week. Odell Beckham Jr. is still in rehab following a cruciate ligament tear. Alex Van Pelt, the attacking coordinator, stated that Beckham’s decision to return to the grid would be made at game time.

And we have to pay attention to that too two of Cleveland’s offensive linemen did not participate in trainingall of which leads to a huge dose of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt running the rock against a fairly hefty Chicago run-stop unit. This gives us reason to believe the bears will win this game. The hook on seven also gives us incentive to play a game of value with the bears.

NFL selection: Bears +7 ½ (-110) in Bovada

Bears +7 ½ (-110)

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* The selection reflects the line at the moment the author made the game, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. You can refer to our live odds as the lines can change.

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