Juan Soto tops the list of 11 MLB free agents who boosted their stock the most in 2024. His impressive performance in the Bronx has not only solidified his reputation but also significantly increased his market value, making him a highly sought-after player for teams looking to enhance their rosters.
For several other players in this year’s free-agent class, unexpected breakthroughs or resurgence in performance came at the perfect moment, positioning them for lucrative contracts.
This article ranks the 11 players who have seen the most significant increase in their market value due to their 2024 production, highlighting both reasons for optimism (green light) and caution (red light) regarding their future performance.
1. Juan Soto, OF
2023: 5.5 bWAR/6.0 fWAR
2024: 7.9 bWAR/8.1 fWAR
Red Light: While Soto’s hitting prowess is undeniable, concerns linger about his defensive capabilities. Being a Gold Glove finalist raised eyebrows, and as he ages, his defensive skills may decline. However, his offensive talent makes him a player worth the investment.
2. Jurickson Profar, OF
2023 (COL/SD): 0.4 bWAR/-1.6 fWAR
2024 (SD): 3.6 bWAR/4.3 fWAR
Red Light: Profar’s resurgence at 31 years old raises questions about consistency. After a lackluster first decade in the majors, his recent performance in San Diego leaves teams uncertain about his future output. One thing is clear: his next contract will be significantly higher than his previous $1 million deal.
3. Luis Severino, RHP
2023: -1.5 bWAR/-0.5 fWAR
2024: 1.6 bWAR/2.1 fWAR
Red Light: Severino’s bounce-back season is commendable, especially considering his struggles in 2023. However, he still needs to regain the strikeout ability that once made him a top pitcher.
4. Jack Flaherty, RHP
2023: 0.8 bWAR/1.8 fWAR
2024: 3.1 bWAR/3.2 fWAR
Red Light: Flaherty’s fluctuating performance in the postseason raises concerns. While he has shown flashes of brilliance, his past injury history and inconsistency could deter teams from making a long-term commitment.
5. Sean Manaea, LHP
2023: 0.3 bWAR/1.2 fWAR
2024: 3.0 bWAR/2.8 fWAR
Green Light: Manaea’s second-half performance, particularly after adjusting his pitching mechanics, showcases his potential as a top-tier starter. His recent success in New York indicates teams may see him as a valuable asset for the upcoming season.
Red Light: At 33, teams may question whether Manaea can sustain his late-season success. His low BABIP after the mechanical change might not be replicable, raising concerns about his long-term viability.
6. Teoscar Hernández, OF
2023: 2.1 bWAR/1.9 fWAR
2024: 4.3 bWAR/3.5 fWAR
7. Willy Adames, SS
2023: 3.0 bWAR/3.3 fWAR
2024: 3.1 bWAR/4.8 fWAR
Green Light: Adames, at 29, is poised for a significant payday. His career-high offensive numbers make him the standout shortstop in a competitive free-agent market, with his 112 RBIs ranking among the league’s best.
Red Light: Despite his power and defensive skills, Adames has faced challenges with strikeouts, which could impact his overall effectiveness at the plate.
8. Yusei Kikuchi, LHP
2023: 1.8 bWAR/2.4 fWAR
2024: 1.4 bWAR/3.5 fWAR
Green Light: Kikuchi’s adjustment in pitch selection after joining the Houston Astros revitalized his career, showcasing his potential as a reliable starter. His strong finish to the season has raised expectations for his future performance.
Red Light: As Kikuchi approaches 34, teams may question whether he can maintain his performance level. His tendency to allow hard contact could be a concern for potential suitors.
9. Nick Martinez, RHP
2023: 1.5 bWAR/1.4 fWAR:
2024: 4.0 bWAR/3.5 fWAR:
Green Light: Martinez’s impressive command and versatility as both a starter and reliever have made him a valuable asset. His strong performance in recent seasons has established him as a reliable option for teams in need of pitching depth.
Red Light: At 34, Martinez’s late-career transition raises questions about sustaining his recent success. However, his diverse skill set remains appealing to potential teams.
10. Tyler O’Neill, OF
2023: 0.3 bWAR/0.6 fWAR
2024: 2.6 bWAR/2.5 fWAR
Green Light: O’Neill’s resurgence reminds fans of his previous MVP-caliber season. His power numbers and improved batting statistics indicate he still has the potential to be a significant contributor.
Red Light: O’Neill’s inconsistency and injury history raise concerns about his ability to perform consistently at a high level. His talent is evident, but health remains a significant factor.
11. Joc Pederson, DH
2023: 0.6 bWAR/0.7 fWAR
2024: 2.9 bWAR/3.0 fWAR
Red Light: Pederson’s transition to a designated hitter role limits his appeal, particularly as he struggles against left-handed pitching. However, he remains a valuable offensive player for teams in need of right-handed hitting.
