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Expert Predictions and Top Picks for the San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Showdown – September 27, 2024!

San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction and Picks - September 27, 2024

The NL West rivals are set to clash in a crucial series as they vie for playoff positioning in the final stretch of the regular season. The San Diego Padres head to the Valley of the Sun to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks in a three-game series starting Friday night. The Padres recently concluded a tough series against the Dodgers, where they lost the second game 4-3 on Wednesday. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks managed to avoid a sweep against the Giants, triumphing 8-2 in their last game at home on Wednesday. Each team has won five games in their season series, with Arizona taking two out of three in their last matchup on July 5-7. This article is written prior to the conclusion of the Padres’ game on Thursday night against Los Angeles.

Padres Aiming for Strong Playoff Position

The San Diego Padres faced a setback in their last game against the Dodgers, dropping the middle game of their three-game series on the road. Entering Thursday with a record of 91-67, the Padres held the second position in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by three games. They have clinched a playoff spot and currently sit atop the wild card standings in the National League. In their last contest, the Padres managed only four hits, with Fernando Tatis Jr. contributing two of them, along with a run and an RBI. He also hit his 21st home run of the season, despite the loss. Dylan Cease pitched five innings, giving up three runs on five hits, but did not receive a decision. Jeremiah Estrada ultimately took the loss after allowing one run in relief.

Martin Perez is scheduled to start for the Padres, marking his 26th overall start this season and his 10th with the team. Perez holds a record of 5-5 with a 4.25 ERA, 1.447 WHIP, 47 walks, and 104 strikeouts across 131.1 innings. He secured a win in his last outing against the White Sox, where he allowed just one run on two hits over 5.1 innings. In his last three appearances, he has posted a solid 1.08 ERA. This contest will be Perez’s third career start against the Diamondbacks, where he has recorded a 0-1 record with a 3.48 ERA.

Diamondbacks Seeking Playoff Stability

The Arizona Diamondbacks broke a three-game losing streak by winning their last game against the Giants. As of Thursday, they held an 88-71 record, positioning themselves third in the NL West and trailing the Dodgers by 6.5 games. They currently share the final wild card position with the Mets in the National League, with a slim lead over the Braves. In their latest game, the Diamondbacks enjoyed a strong performance, recording 11 hits. Players like Christian Walker and Geraldo Perdomo had standout contributions, with Walker scoring twice and driving in a run. Pavin Smith added his ninth home run of the season in the victory. Zac Gallen was impressive on the mound, pitching six innings while allowing only one run and striking out 11 batters.

Merrill Kelly will take the mound for the Diamondbacks, marking his 13th start of the season. Kelly boasts a 5-0 record with a 3.71 ERA, 1.132 WHIP, 18 walks, and 55 strikeouts over 68 innings. He recently earned a win against the Brewers, completing five shutout innings. In his last three games, Kelly’s performance has been strong, with a 2.40 ERA and a 0.80 WHIP. This matchup will be Kelly’s 16th career start against the Padres, where he has recorded a 9-3 record with a 3.05 ERA. He has also been effective at Chase Field, maintaining a solid overall ERA in his career starts there.

Betting Insights for Padres vs. Diamondbacks

The San Diego Padres are securing their postseason spot and are likely to finish as the top wild card in the National League unless the Dodgers falter drastically. Martin Perez has been a significant asset since joining the Padres, posting an impressive 2.61 ERA in his nine starts. On the other side, Merrill Kelly has shown resilience despite missing part of the season due to injury. However, he has faced challenges with leg cramps in recent starts. Given the scheduling dynamics—where the Padres have to travel after a game while the Diamondbacks had a day off—look for Arizona to leverage this advantage to claim victory in the opening game of the series.

Written By

Dave Gallo is a leading sports bettor and handicapper since 1999, known for his impressive 10-0 winning streaks. A journalism, advertising, and media studies major at the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, he combines his betting expertise with academic knowledge. Gallo's strong work ethic and passion for sports fuel his ongoing success and scholarly pursuits.

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