The Las Vegas Raiders are set to face off against the Miami Dolphins this Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium. This Week 11 NFL matchup is scheduled to kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET.
The Dolphins are favored by 7.5 points, with the total points expected to be 44.5.
Las Vegas (2-7 SU, 4-5 ATS, 6-3 O/U) took a break last weekend after suffering a 41-24 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals on November 3.
Meanwhile, Miami (3-6 SU, 3-6 ATS, 3-6 O/U) managed to secure a victory against the LA Rams on Monday night. However, the Dolphins’ home performance this season has been less than stellar, with a record of 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS.
In their previous encounter last season, Miami edged out Las Vegas with a 20-13 win. Historically, the Dolphins have a strong record against the Raiders, winning 8 out of the last 10 matchups, although they have struggled with a 3-6-1 ATS record in that span. The total went over in 8 of those 10 games.
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Curious about the outcome of this NFL clash? Read on for insights into the Las Vegas Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins prediction!
Raiders Seeking to Bounce Back as Underdogs
Las Vegas has struggled recently, losing five consecutive games, all by a margin of at least seven points. In their last outing, the Raiders were outperformed, gaining only 217 yards compared to Cincinnati’s 373. Quarterback Joe Burrow notably torched the Raiders’ defense with five touchdown passes. The Bengals dominated time of possession and converted on 9 of 16 third and fourth downs, while the Raiders managed fewer than four yards per play. Cincinnati’s defense registered five sacks and disrupted the Raiders’ offense with 13 quarterback hits and two fumble recoveries.
“Today wasn’t a good day at the office,” said Raiders coach Antonio Pierce. “We’ve got the bye week to reset, and when I say everything, it’s everything. That wasn’t a good enough effort.”
The Raiders have made significant changes during their bye week, including the firing of offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, offensive line coach James Cregg, and quarterback coach Rich Scangarello. Former head coach Norv Turner has been brought in as an advisor, while his son Scott assumes the role of interim offensive coordinator. Joe Philbin, a former Dolphins head coach, will act as the interim offensive line coach.
Gardner Minshew leads the Raiders’ passing line with 1,501 yards, six touchdowns, and eight interceptions. His main targets include tight end Brock Bowers (57 receptions for 580 yards and two touchdowns) and wide receiver Jakobi Meyers (39 receptions for 430 yards and two touchdowns). The team’s rushing attack is spearheaded by Alexander Mattison (92 carries for 301 yards and three touchdowns).
The Raiders average 18.7 points per game, ranking 25th in the league, and accumulate 280.2 total yards, placing them 29th. Their passing game ranks 18th with an average of 203.3 yards, while their rushing game is at the bottom, averaging just 76.9 yards. They have allowed 30 sacks, ranking 28th in the league, and committed 19 turnovers, which is the worst in the league. Las Vegas has a third-down conversion rate of 33.6 percent, ranking 27th, and scores on 59.0 percent of their red zone opportunities, good for 10th in the league.
The Raiders’ defense surrenders 27.9 points per game, ranking 30th, and allows 325.0 total yards per game, which is 14th in the league. They give up an average of 195.1 passing yards (11th) and 129.9 rushing yards (22nd). With only 17 sacks (29th) and five forced turnovers (32nd), they have struggled to stop opposing offenses. Their opponents convert 38.6 percent of third downs (20th) and score touchdowns on 64.7 percent of red zone visits (27th).
Las Vegas Raiders Injury Report: TE Harrison Bryant (ankle), OT Kolton Miller (elbow), C Andre James (ankle), G Dylan Parham (Achilles), G Cody Whitehair (chest), and S Trey Taylor (undisclosed) are listed as questionable heading into Sunday’s game against the Dolphins.
Dolphins Regaining Momentum After Recent Win
Miami returned to victory on Monday Night Football against the Rams, halting a three-game losing streak. Despite being outgained 327-238, the Dolphins capitalized on the Rams’ struggles, as Los Angeles converted only 3 of 12 third downs and committed six penalties for a total of 64 yards.
Defensive tackle Calais Campbell emphasized the team’s potential, stating, “When we’re playing our best ball, we can still beat anybody. We’ve just got to continue to believe, continue to fight. And obviously, the margin for error is zero.”
Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa leads Miami’s offense with 1,155 passing yards, six touchdowns, and four interceptions over five games. His key targets include wide receivers Tyreek Hill (37 receptions for 462 yards and two touchdowns) and Jaylen Waddle (31 receptions for 367 yards and one touchdown). The Dolphins’ running back committee consists of De’Von Achane (105 carries for 457 yards and two touchdowns), Raheem Mostert (55 carries for 214 yards and two touchdowns), and Jaylen Wright (47 carries for 211 yards).
Miami averages 16.3 points per game (30th) and a total of 315.2 yards (20th), with 188.8 passing yards (25th) and 126.4 rushing yards (9th). The Dolphins have allowed 23 sacks (15th) and committed 11 turnovers (7th). They convert 40.1 percent of their third downs (12th) and score touchdowns on 52.0 percent of their red zone trips (23rd).
Defensively, Miami allows 22.4 points per game (18th) and 305.8 total yards (10th), with 191.3 passing yards (8th) and 114.4 rushing yards (12th). They have recorded 14 sacks (30th) and forced eight turnovers (29th). Opponents convert 32.0 percent of third downs against them (3rd) and score touchdowns on 50.0 percent of their red zone visits (11th).
Miami Dolphins Injury Report: WR Grant Dubose (shoulder) is probable. CB Jalen Ramsey (knee), CB Kendall Fuller (concussion), OL Robert Jones (knee), FB Alec Ingold (calf), CB Storm Duck (ankle), and RB Jeff Wilson Jr. (knee) are questionable for the matchup against Las Vegas.
Best Bets for Las Vegas Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins
