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Colts vs. Titans NFL Week 3 Picks and Predictions



Colts vs. Titans NFL Week 3 Tips and Predictions

Colts WR Ashton Dulin (# 16) reacts to a game with TE Mo Alie-Cox (# 81) against the Los Angeles Rams in week 2. Michael Hickey / Getty Images / AFP

Despite their QB situation, the Indianapolis Colts could be the right team for Sunday’s matchup against the Tennessee Titans. Although we do not know who will play, the NFL odds are available. Let’s have a look at these.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans

Sunday, September 26, 2021 – 1:00 PM EDT at Nissan Stadium

How far has Carson Wentz fallen in the eyes of the bettors? He may or may not play for the Indianapolis Colts this Sunday after twisting his right ankle in last week’s 27-24 loss to the LA Rams (-4 away).

However, our usual gang at sports betting didn’t stop them from publishing their NFL lines for Week 3. Bovada (visit our Bovada Review), put the Colts as +5.5 ahead of their tough road climb with the Tennessee Titans. It’s all over for the circle games.

In fact, Bovada opened the Colts at +3.5 on Saturday so there was indeed some market reaction to Wentz’s injury – multiple injuries, including reportedly sprained both ankles last week.

Jacob Eason, second grade, took over the game in the fourth quarter. Los Angeles won the game with a field goal late in the match. If Eason has to start instead of Wentz, the Colts (0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS) will be behind the 8 ball in this matchup, to say the least.

Coach Reich: Carson Wentz suffered sprains in both ankles on Sunday; too early to say week 3 status.

– Indianapolis Colts (@Colts) September 20, 2021

Twenty something

So why the consensus reports at the time of going to press? 78 percent of the early bettors have on Indianapolis? Glad you asked.

The traditional Elo-based projections at FiveThirtyEight let Tennessee win that game by three points; their QB-adjusted Kayfabe spread is Titans -5, suggesting they believe Eason will win on Sunday.

Nate Silver’s crew, Jay Boice and Neil Paine, rated Wentz at 119 Elo points and Eason at 58. with 25 elos worth about as much as a PAT.

Perhaps the Colts aren’t as picky about their NFL picks as they once were. It’s not as if the titans destroyed the doors of their rivals. They were well on their way to losing in Seattle last Sunday but the Seahawks shot themselves in the foot, falling 33-30 in overtime as 6.5-point home faves on the NFL odds table.

In ESPN’s Football Power Index, Tennessee was ranked 20th overall, just two places ahead of Indianapolis, with just one half point that separates the two on neutral ground.

The Colts’ QB Jacob Eason (#9) didn’t fare well against the Los Angeles Rams in Week 2 Andy Lyons / Getty Images / AFP

Eason Down The Road

The main takeaway here is that bettors may not overreact to the Wentz injury, but they may the titans slightly overrated, first.

According to FiveThirtyEight, Wentz is a below-average starter; while Eason 2020 was a humble choice for the fourth round.

He has a pedigree as the son of former New England Patriot QB Tony Eason, and he was a blue-chip prospect for the Georgia Bulldogs before injuring his knee in the 2017 opener, losing the gig to Jake Fromm, and moving to Washington.

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The selection

Obviously, it’s hard to predict how well Eason will fare for the Colts this Sunday after calling the clipboard as theirs last year third string QB.

But as a rough guide, FiveThirtyEight Eason rates roughly the same as Washington’s Taylor Heinicke (56 Elo points), who seems to fill in well for the injured Ryan Fitzpatrick.

This is the NFL selection. We buy it for one dollar, but not much more due to the low profit margins and chaos of this competition.

NFL selection: Colt +5.5 (-110) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

Colt +5.5(-110)

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* The selection reflects the line at the moment the author made the game, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Our live odds are useful as lines can change.

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