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Best NBA prop bets today: SuperDraft player prop picks for Game 5 of Heat-Knicks

RJ Barrett (New York Knicks)
best nba prop bets today: superdraft player prop picks for

The eighth-place Heat will try to end the Knicks with a fifth-place finish tonight at Madison Square Garden in Game 5 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals (7:30 p.m. ET, TNT). Miami took a comfortable 3-1 lead after beating New York 109-101 in Game 4, with Jimmy Butler again leading the Heat for 27 points, 10 assists and six rebounds. Bam Adebayo started with a double-double with 23 points and 13 rebounds. The Heat had five players in double digits and shot 47.1 percent from the field.

Jalen Brunson led the Knicks with a game-high 32 points (10-21 FG, 2-7 3 points), 11 rebounds and four assists. RJ Barrett contributed 24 points, four rebounds and three assists while Julius Randle had 20 points, nine rebounds and three assists.

If basketball fans want to bet on more great performances from Butler, Adebayo, Brunson, Randle or Barrett, they can do so at SuperDraft. In SuperDraft, bettors can select an over/under on two or more player props. If you hit both, you win up to 3x the amount wagered, and the return increases every time you add another prop. Think of it as a “Same Game Parlay”. More legs mean more risk, but also a bigger potential payoff. However, not all players have the same props, so keep that in mind as you pick your over/under moves and try to win some money during today’s game.

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SuperDraft Player Prop Picks for Heat-Knicks Game 5

RJ Barrett, SG, Knicks – OVER 20.5 points

Barrett needs to be one of New York’s top scorers if they hope to extend the streak. The former Duke standout put in a solid performance in Game 4, scoring 24 points on 9-of-16 shooting from the field and 3-of-5 from three-point range. Barrett is scoring 22 points per game in the first four games of this series and has gone over 20.5 points in five of his last nine playoff games.

Aside from that trend, we also want Barrett to go above 20.5 points because he’s throwing 17.3 attempts per game in that streak. The Heat will try to slow Brunson, which means Barrett and Randle have to be aggressive and take the shots when they’re available.

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Jimmy Butler, SF, Heat – OVER 1.5 steals

Jimmy Butler (Heat), Jalen Brunson (Knicks) 04262023

SuperDraft is starting to roll out more three-pointer and steal props. So why not risk the defensive-minded Butler against a Knicks team that’s averaging 13.5 turnovers per game this series? The veteran wing has 1.6 steals in the playoffs and 1.3 steals per game against the Knicks.

Butler will look to wreak havoc at both ends tonight as he attempts to bring the Heat to the ECF for the third time in four years. The 33-year-old winger doesn’t have the fastest hands but does a good job on the passing lanes. He has had OVER 1.5 steals in six of eight playoff games.

MORE: Join SuperDraft now and enjoy a deposit match of up to $100! Enter the promo code “TSN” for $10 free during registration

Caleb Martin, SF, Suns – OVER 8.5 points

Caleb Martin Miami Heat

Martin has provided a spark to the Heat off the bench and as a starter throughout the playoffs. The 27-year-old winger is averaging 11.1 points per game while shooting 53.1 percent from the field and 37.8 percent from three-pointers in the postseason. Martin can score in multiple ways and doesn’t need many shot attempts to hit this number.

In his first four games against New York, the former Nevada standout averaged 11 points on 8.5 attempts per game. He has also averaged over 8.5 points in seven of nine playoff games. The Heat will be looking for him to be a factor on defense tonight and will continue to pick up points when the need arises at various points in the game.

Jalen Brunson, PG, Knicks – UNDER 6.5 assists

Jalen Brunson New York Knicks 050223

Brunson has given away 19 assists in the last two games, both losses. We don’t think this trend will continue as the only game the Knicks won was Game 2 in which Brunson had 30 points and two assists. If the Knicks are going to force a Game 6, they’ll need him more as a scorer, especially when the bench can’t get going.

The veteran point guard is dishing out 5.8 assists per game in the postseason and has gone UNDER 6.5 assists in five of his last nine games. The assist opportunities will be there for Brunson, but we think he’ll be more of a goalscorer in a game that’s a must-win.

Written By

Dave Gallo is a pioneering sports analytics expert, renowned for his revolutionary work in AI-driven sports simulations, projections, and advanced statistical analysis. With a profound passion for sports and technology, he crafts cutting-edge computer models that accurately predict outcomes. Dave's game-changing insights have reshaped strategy, player evaluation, and decision-making across various sports. His dynamic presentations make complex analytics accessible and inspiring, ensuring his legacy as a visionary in sports analytics. Check out Dave's Pick Record.

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