2025 NASCAR predictions indicate that the Daytona 500 will be a fierce competition, with Brad Keselowski emerging as a strong contender for victory. His aggressive driving style may deter some from teaming up with him, but that very edge could work in his favor on race day.
Joey Logano, the reigning champion, serves as a reminder of the unpredictability of NASCAR. Last year, he was not included in many predictions, yet he not only made the playoffs but also took home the championship trophy. His success highlights the importance of keeping an open mind when forecasting outcomes in this sport.
While predicting every outcome accurately is a tall order, the aim is to avoid significant missteps. With that in mind, let’s dive into the key predictions for the 2025 season.
Daytona 500
Brad Keselowski
Why is he a favorite?
Keselowski’s history of aggressive tactics might turn some drivers away, but it could also lead to a thrilling finish. The Daytona 500 is known for surprises, and his bold approach could pay off in this unpredictable race.
Regular-season champion
Kyle Larson
Playoff participants
Twelve drivers are expected to return to the playoffs this year: Joey Logano, Christopher Bell, Ryan Blaney, Alex Bowman, Chase Briscoe, William Byron, Chase Elliott, Ty Gibbs, Denny Hamlin, Brad Keselowski, Kyle Larson, and Tyler Reddick. Additionally, Chris Buescher, Kyle Busch, Ross Chastain, and Bubba Wallace are anticipated to qualify after missing out last year.
Notably, Harrison Burton and Martin Truex Jr. will not be full-time competitors this season. Last year’s winners, Austin Cindric and Daniel Suarez, may also find themselves outside the playoff picture during the regular season.
An intriguing prediction is that Shane van Gisbergen will secure a regular-season victory, contributing to a total of 17 different winners. However, he is likely to finish lowest in points among them.
Championship 4
Ryan Blaney, William Byron, Denny Hamlin, and Chase Elliott
This prediction may seem bold, especially considering last year’s oversight of Logano. While Larson has the potential to excel at Las Vegas, which opens the semifinal round, his performance at Talladega and Martinsville could be challenging.
Champion
William Byron
Byron’s previous season saw him struggle after a promising start, yet he remains young and focused. With Rudy Fugle as his crew chief, the potential for success at Phoenix is high. Having predicted Byron’s success last season, there’s hope that he will finally clinch the championship this year.
Rookie of the Year
Shane van Gisbergen
The competition for this title is tight, with van Gisbergen and Riley Herbst both in contention. However, van Gisbergen’s skills on road courses give him a slight advantage.
Comeback Driver of the Year
Noah Gragson
Gragson faced a challenging rookie season in 2023, struggling at Legacy Motor Club and losing his ride due to a controversial social media post. However, after a respectable year at SHR, where he finished 24th in the standings, he now has the opportunity to improve at Front Row Racing. With the same crew chief, Drew Blickensderfer, a top-20 finish is within reach.
