Will the Yankees lose Juan Soto? This question looms large as the team navigates the complexities of free agency. Soto has become a pivotal figure for the Yankees, especially after a standout season that helped lead them to the World Series. However, with the uncertainty surrounding his contract negotiations, the possibility of him signing elsewhere remains a concern for fans and analysts alike. Meanwhile, the Dodgers are eyeing potential trade targets, with Cody Bellinger emerging as a favorable option. Bellinger’s familiarity with the Dodgers could make a reunion less complicated than pursuing Carlos Correa or Nolan Arenado, both of whom come with their own sets of challenges.
1. What potential trade target do you like best for the Dodgers: Cody Bellinger, Carlos Correa, or Nolan Arenado?
Thosar: Bellinger stands out as the most appealing option. The Dodgers could greatly benefit from his defensive skills in the outfield, especially if they decide against re-signing Teoscar Hernandez. With the Cubs reportedly looking to trade Bellinger after he opted into his $27.5 million player option for 2025, the Dodgers might find value in securing a player they know well. Unlike Correa, who still bears the brunt of criticism from the 2017 Astros scandal, or Arenado, who is coming off a disappointing season, Bellinger presents a more straightforward fit.
Arenado may express interest in joining the Dodgers, but the logistics could be tricky. Max Muncy’s contract runs through 2025, which could force the team to shift him to second base to accommodate Arenado. Additionally, Mookie Betts is expected to return to the infield next season, making a reunion with Bellinger a less risky and more strategic move.
2. Would you bet on the Yankees or The Field to sign Juan Soto? If the Yankees miss, what must they do to make this a successful offseason?
Thosar: The Yankees must prioritize signing Juan Soto. The urgency is palpable, especially after his significant contributions last season. The team cannot afford to miss out on retaining him, as doing so could lead to fan discontent. The prospect of giving Soto a lucrative deal was on the table even before his arrival, and now, after a stellar season, it has become imperative. Soto’s presence was instrumental in the Yankees’ success, and keeping him could be the key to competing against formidable teams like the Dodgers.
Without Soto, the Yankees face challenges in assembling a competitive roster, particularly with aging players like Gerrit Cole and Giancarlo Stanton. Should they fail to secure Soto, the Yankees must act quickly by acquiring two impactful hitters, ideally including a corner infielder, and possibly a top-tier starting pitcher to solidify their lineup.
Kavner: The Yankees must consider Soto their top priority. However, based on recent comments from Hal Steinbrenner, it seems wise to also keep an eye on alternative options. If they do not secure Soto, the Yankees must act decisively to bolster their offense. This would likely involve acquiring at least two high-impact players, including one corner infielder, and potentially adding a starting pitcher to stabilize the rotation.
3. Which team would Willy Adames make the biggest difference for? What would be your max offer for him?
Kavner: The San Francisco Giants could greatly benefit from Willy Adames. The team is expected to make significant moves to rejuvenate their roster after previous disappointments in acquiring star players. Even if they plan to cut costs in 2025, the Giants have a financial opportunity now that they will no longer be paying Blake Snell. Adames would not only enhance their batting lineup but also improve their defensive capabilities in the middle of the field.
Thosar: The New York Mets could also be an ideal landing spot for Adames. He has expressed a willingness to change positions, which could suit the Mets’ needs well. With Francisco Lindor locked in at shortstop, Adames could play third or second base, providing flexibility regardless of the team’s decisions regarding Juan Soto or Pete Alonso. This pairing with Lindor could create one of the strongest middle infields in the National League.
Adames had a breakout year in 2024, setting personal records in home runs, RBIs, and doubles. A fair offer for Adames could be in the range of $150-160 million over seven years, with $180 million being the upper limit if teams are particularly desperate.
4. What’s the better buy: Pete Alonso for $160 million over six years or Christian Walker for $70 million over three years? Where’s the ideal landing spot for each player?
Thosar: In this scenario, Alonso emerges as the better investment. While the contract length may raise some eyebrows, his consistent power-hitting ability is unmatched in the league. Since his rookie season, he has consistently hit 34 home runs or more, showcasing his reliability as a power hitter. In contrast, Walker has only surpassed that mark once in his career. Alonso’s youth and proven performance in high-pressure situations make him an appealing option for teams looking to strengthen their lineups.
Walker may have had success in Arizona, but transitioning to a new team at his age could pose challenges. The Mets would likely be the best fit for Alonso, while the Yankees could benefit from Walker as a replacement for Anthony Rizzo.
5. Who is one position player and pitcher you predict will be a steal for the teams that sign them?
Kavner: Walker could be a bargain if he signs a shorter deal, given his consistent performance over the past three seasons. His offensive capabilities, combined with strong defensive skills, provide a solid foundation for any team.
For pitching, Shane Bieber is a name to watch. His recent elbow injury and subsequent surgery may lower his market value, creating a unique opportunity for teams willing to take a chance on a former Cy Young Award winner. If he can recover, he could provide significant value for the right team.
Thosar: Gleyber Torres and Walker Buehler also present great potential for teams looking for under-the-radar talent. Torres has faced scrutiny but has the ability to excel in a more supportive environment. Buehler, with his history of postseason success, could be primed for a comeback after injury setbacks.
Bonus: What do you make of MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred saying there is “buzz” around adding a “Golden At-Bat” rule that would allow teams to use anyone in their lineup for one at-bat per game, regardless of where they’re at in the order?
Thosar: The idea of a “Golden At-Bat” rule raises concerns about the integrity of baseball. Such a change could undermine the essence of teamwork by allowing teams to send their best hitters to the plate at critical moments, sidelining the contributions of other players. The unpredictability of a game-winning hit from an unexpected player is part of what makes baseball exciting. Allowing a team to bypass the batting order could lead to bizarre scenarios, such as intentionally walking a star player only for them to bat again immediately. This proposed rule feels out of place in the traditional structure of baseball.
