2024 NFL Week 10 best bets highlight the potential for the Commanders and Lions to cover their respective spreads, offering bettors a promising opportunity to capitalize on favorable matchups.
As the Week 10 schedule approaches, three intriguing games stand out, and the favorites seem poised for success. Among these, the Detroit Lions are particularly compelling.
However, readers should keep an eye on the Commanders and 49ers as well, as strong arguments can be made for their victories and ability to cover.
(All times ET)
Sunday, Nov. 10
STEELERS @ COMMANDERS (1 p.m., CBS)
The Steelers are set to be an unusual public underdog on the road, but various factors align in their favor.
Consider some noteworthy trends:
Mike Tomlin’s record against rookie quarterbacks stands at an impressive 25-6. Known for his defensive acumen, Tomlin off a bye week boasts a 13-4 record. When underdog status since Ben Roethlisberger’s retirement, he has gone 20-9 against the spread (ATS).
These figures, however, do not account for Washington’s remarkable 2024 season.
The Commanders have emerged as a compelling story, showcasing an offensive prowess that has resulted in scoring during 34 of the last 36 quarters. Remarkably, they have converted all 11 fourth-down attempts this season!
This matchup marks the most formidable offense the Steelers have faced since their opener against a hobbled Kirk Cousins. To combat Pittsburgh’s formidable pass rush led by T.J. Watt, a scrambling quarterback is essential. Lamar Jackson has consistently troubled the Steelers, showcasing his rushing ability with games of 45, 55, 65, and 70 yards against them.
Furthermore, rookie quarterbacks are a perfect 11-0 when favored this season, indicating that the betting market may still be catching up to the Commanders’ capabilities.
49ERS @ BUCCANEERS (1 p.m., FOX and FOX Sports App)
Last season, the San Francisco 49ers entered their bye week on a low note, having lost three consecutive games while key players like Trent Williams, Brock Purdy, and Deebo Samuel dealt with injuries.
Emerging from the bye, they faced the Jacksonville Jaguars, who were on a five-game winning streak. The 49ers, now healthy, dominated the Jags 34-3 and went on to secure seven consecutive victories.
This year, the 49ers have struggled with injuries leading into their bye week, alternating between wins and losses, and are set to travel to Florida once again.
With key players like Deebo Samuel, Jauan Jennings, and the crucial Christian McCaffrey returning — alongside Tampa’s ongoing challenges — the 49ers present a compelling case for victory.
The betting line has fluctuated, starting at 6, dipping to 5, then back to 6, and now trending toward 7. The Buccaneers are coming off an exhausting overtime loss, where their defense faced 83 plays against Kansas City, now preparing to face the 49ers.
Tampa’s defense has shown vulnerabilities, while their offense is struggling with injuries. In their last three games, they have allowed 12 touchdowns and recorded zero interceptions.
A lopsided score, such as 40-17, is certainly within the realm of possibility.
LIONS @ TEXANS (8:20 p.m., NBC/Peacock)
The return of Nico Collins, a top receiver, could be pivotal for the Texans, who have struggled without him, holding a 6-13 record in his absence.
However, Collins did not practice until Friday, leaving uncertainty about his availability and impact. Compounding this, edge rusher Will Anderson has also been sidelined due to an ankle injury.
The Texans’ defense has shown weaknesses, and their offense lacks cohesion without Collins. It raises questions about where Houston can find an advantage.
Despite a looming rivalry game against Dallas, the Texans cannot afford to overlook the Lions, who are currently on a roll.
The Lions have excelled against the spread, boasting a 40-15 ATS record over their last 55 games. Last season, they finished 12-5 ATS, ranking second in the NFL. This year, they are an impressive 7-1 ATS.
If one were to obscure their name and logo, they might be mistaken for a powerhouse like the Chiefs, Ravens, or 49ers.
While it may seem a straightforward choice, the Lions are a solid pick for this matchup.
