2024 NFL Week 11 picks, predictions: Back underdog Chiefs to cover

2024 NFL Week 11 picks and predictions suggest backing the underdog Chiefs to cover. This topic has sparked debate among fans and analysts alike, as the Kansas City Chiefs continue to raise eyebrows with their impressive performance.

While some may argue that luck plays a role in their success, their undefeated streak ten weeks into the season speaks volumes about their skill and determination. With every game, they seem to solidify their status as a formidable force in the NFL.

For those interested in wagering, there are intriguing insights into how to bet on Kansas City, along with additional recommendations for this weekend’s matchups.

(All times ET)

SUNDAY, NOV. 17

Browns @ Saints (1 p.m., FOX and FOX Sports App)

The New Orleans Saints recently experienced a coaching shake-up after Dennis Allen’s departure, leading to a brief surge in performance. However, their recent victory over the Falcons was heavily reliant on the standout play of Marquez Valdes-Scantling, who contributed 109 yards and two touchdowns.

Expecting similar results against the Browns may be unrealistic, given the latter’s solid defense and the Saints’ ongoing struggles with injuries and roster depth.

The Browns, benefiting from a bye week, have had ample time to refine their game plan centered around Jameis Winston. With the Cleveland defense showing improvement, they are well-positioned to capitalize on the Saints’ vulnerabilities.

Given these factors, the prediction leans towards the Browns covering the spread and securing a victory.

Chiefs @ Bills (4:25 p.m., CBS)

Once again, oddsmakers have labeled Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs as underdogs, a scenario that often fuels their competitive spirit. This line provides added motivation for Kansas City as they prepare for a crucial matchup against the Bills.

The Chiefs typically reserve their best performances for high-stakes games against elite opponents. Fans can expect nothing less than an intense showdown against Buffalo.

The Bills face challenges of their own, missing key receiver Keon Coleman and having Amari Cooper listed as questionable. Without their top receiving threats, moving the ball against Kansas City could prove difficult.

Kansas City’s defense ranks second in the league in rushing yards allowed per attempt, effectively forcing opposing offenses into one-dimensional play. This strategic advantage could lead to turnovers, particularly against a talented quarterback like Josh Allen.

Ultimately, the Chiefs are likely to cover the spread in this matchup.

Bengals @ Chargers (8:20 p.m., NBC)

The Cincinnati Bengals have secured four wins this season against teams like the Raiders, Browns, Giants, and Panthers, but these opponents collectively hold only nine wins. Their six losses, however, came against teams with winning records, highlighting a trend that cannot be ignored.

Cincinnati boasts a potent offense but struggles defensively, allowing teams to score freely. While the Chargers may lack star receivers, their offense has gained momentum recently, ranking 12th in offensive DVOA.

The Chargers’ defense, though often overlooked, is performing at a high level, ranking first in points allowed per game. This cohesive unit presents a formidable challenge for the Bengals’ offensive line.

Given these dynamics, the prediction leans towards the Chargers covering the spread in this contest.

Source

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