2024 College Football Playoff odds suggest that the current format may have flaws, as debates continue over which teams truly deserve their spots. The announcement of the 12-team bracket sparked intense discussions about the selection process, highlighting the teams that were included versus those that were left out.
The situation intensified following four first-round blowouts, which amplified scrutiny of the playoff system and its ability to fairly represent the best teams in college football.
As they approach the quarterfinals, the odds indicate that the teams without conference titles — No. 5 Texas, No. 6 Penn State, No. 7 Notre Dame, and No. 8 Ohio State — hold a more favorable chance of clinching the national championship compared to the four conference champions: No. 1 Oregon, No. 2 Georgia, No. 3 Boise State, and No. 4 Arizona State.
At DraftKings Sportsbook, the odds for the at-large teams stand at -225 for winning the CFP, while the conference champions are listed at +180.
Additionally, among the 16 potential matchups for the CFP title game, none involving No. 3 Boise State or No. 4 Arizona State have better than +3000 odds.
Games featuring Boise State and Arizona State rank from 10th to 16th on the oddsboard, with a Boise State vs. Arizona State matchup boasting +20000 odds of occurring in the College Football Playoff title game.
CFP Name the Finalists 2024-2025
Texas vs. Penn State: +500 (bet $10 to win $60 total)
Georgia vs. Texas: +600 (bet $10 to win $70 total)
Texas vs. Notre Dame: +650 (bet $10 to win $76 total)
Penn State vs. Ohio State: +650 (bet $10 to win $76 total)
Oregon vs. Penn State: +750 (bet $10 to win $85 total)
Georgia vs. Ohio State: +750 (bet $10 to win $85 total)
Oregon vs. Georgia: +800 (bet $10 to win $90 total)
Notre Dame vs. Ohio State: +800 (bet $10 to win $90 total)
Oregon vs. Notre Dame: +900 (bet $10 to win $100 total)
Boise State vs. Texas: +3000 (bet $10 to win $310 total)
Boise State vs. Ohio State: +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total)
Arizona State vs. Penn State: +4500 (bet $10 to win $460 total)
Georgia vs. Arizona State: +5000 (bet $10 to win $510 total)
Oregon vs. Boise State: +5500 (bet $10 to win $560 total)
Arizona State vs. Notre Dame: +5500 (bet $10 to win $560 total)
Boise State vs. Arizona State: +20000 (bet $10 to win $2,010 total)
As the quarterfinals approach, the top four seeds — representing four of the five conference champions, excluding ACC champion Clemson, who entered as the 12-seed and lost in the first round to Texas — present an interesting picture.
The SEC champion Georgia stands as a 1.5-point favorite against Notre Dame. However, the Big Ten champion Oregon finds itself as a 2.5-point underdog to Ohio State, while Boise State is an 11-point underdog to Penn State, and Arizona State faces a 14-point underdog status against Texas.
